2021 Real Estate Forecast – A FORMAFIST Christmas Bubble Special!

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What I am looking out for in 2021 in Real Estate, a look at Real Estate Bubbles throughout history (and a new chart), and a look at timelines (looking at short term vs long term forecasts). Bubbles and crashes……. they happen 🙂

The First Housing Bubble?
House Prices and Turnover in Amsterdam, 1582-1810:

No Price Like Home: Global House Prices, 1870–2012:

Real Estate Prices in Beijing, 1644 to 1840:

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30 gedachten over “2021 Real Estate Forecast – A FORMAFIST Christmas Bubble Special!”

  1. Forma Tim (BoC) mentioned he would consider going 0 and even negative rates! That's why everyone is looking at interest. The government also gave first time home buyers 4.5x purchasing power compared to 4x. It seems like this pump won't stop. The suburbs exploded 50-100k in just a few months as I was looking to escape from Toronto because of how disgusting the prices are. There is no winning

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  2. The scariest part of that Amsterdam chart is two of the three overvaluation periods were like 40 years long. So we could potentially be less than halfway through this one. Hope I'm not dead before Canada's real estate has a meaningful correction.

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  3. I agree. I'm a first time home buyer trying to land something in Toronto. What I'm seeing is extreme demand; it's hard to ever see it go down. Things going 180-200 over asking. If you've been around the world, you'l see Canadian's land and culture is priceless. It will crash/correct one day but it will be priceless forever.

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  4. With all this money printing and low rates, we might not see another correction for 5 to 10 years which means if your 30 right now, your waiting till your 35-40 years old which isn’t too bad but what if you're already 40? It really depends on how much the correction is vs time wasted plus rent paid and how much higher real estate has gone in the span of 5 to 10 years. Might not even be worth the wait… or you could even be paying more than you could pay now with a correction 5 to 10 years from now. How much is 5 to 10 years rent? You need to factor that in too… another 5-10 years of money gone to your landlord when you should have put it towards your own home

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  5. Here is all you need to know. There will be a final parabolic blow off top in real estate. The trigger? They will announce a capital gains tax on any real estate gains, with a defined start date. Everyone will liquidate who made money, everyone will buy who doesn't care about locking in profits.

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